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Current Stocks in this Portfolio:
SecurityCurrent VFS PredictionCurrent PriceMTD Price ChangeYTD Price ChangeCurrent VFS Rating
TripAdvisor (TRIP)Outperform46.46-3.77 %-45.50 %10
Alphabet (GOOGL)Outperform764.46-1.47 %-1.74 %9
Disney (DIS) 98.50-0.63 %-5.59 %7
Paccar (PCAR) 63.101.53 %36.08 %6
Costco (COST) 152.091.32 %-5.83 %5
NIKE Inc (NKE) 50.460.78 %61.73 %5
Starbucks (SBUX) 57.21-1.31 %-4.70 %5 (AMZN) 740.34-1.36 %9.54 %5
Flir Systems (FLIR) 35.53-1.06 %26.58 %5
F5 Networks Inc. (FFIV) 138.99-1.25 %43.35 %5
Nordstroms (JWN) 56.541.11 %13.51 %4
First Solar Inc. (FSLR) 30.15-0.56 %-54.31 %4
Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA) 181.47-4.19 %-24.39 %4
Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) 10.882.19 %-5.86 %4
Hooker Furniture Corporation (HOFT) 28.303.66 %12.52 %4
Fitbit Inc (FIT) 8.14-2.63 %-72.49 %3
Zillow Inc. (ZG)Underperform33.33-5.18 %28.00 %1
Twitter Inc. Com (TWTR) 17.93-3.03 %-22.52 %1
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) 9.85-1.89 %92.38 %1
Portfolio Return:  -0.93 %-3.87 % 
S&P 500 Return:-0.32 %7.75 %

Puget Investor Blog
A Case For Top Down Investing (11/30/2016)

I typically have been a bottom up investor- look for companies I think are undervalued, and invest in the hope that others will see the bargain out there and raise the price.  This is called ‘Bottom up Investing‘, focusing on the individual market vs the stock sector or the asset class. However, the market action […]

The post A Case For Top Down Investing appeared first on VIRTUAL DAN.

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The Government Costanza Moment (10/26/2016)

When I read these two articles, I was reminded of the Seinfeld episode where George realized that he has been making bad choices all his life – so he should do the opposite of what he thinks is right. Case in point:  This article discussing how the budget deficit is now increasing due to stimulus points how […]

The post The Government Costanza Moment appeared first on VIRTUAL DAN.

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Whats Up With Gold? (8/23/2016)

I have been watching Gold lately as an asset class – Gold has always been a curiosity of mine as to why people would invest in gold.  Over the last few years as I have been watching how momentum impacts markets, I feel I understand a little better about the hows and whys of how […]

The post Whats Up With Gold? appeared first on VIRTUAL DAN.

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Emerging Markets – Emerging Opportunity? (7/23/2016)

Anybody who has invested in emerging markets over the last few years will tell you they have been killed.    Investing in emerging markets has been a small part of my diversification strategy, so while it has not been a winner I see it as a cost of diversification. So I was interested to see […]

The post Emerging Markets – Emerging Opportunity? appeared first on VIRTUAL DAN.

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The Economics of World Bond Pricing (7/7/2016)

This interview with Mohamed El-Erien has a great quote in it which got me to realize why I find economics so interesting: In the mid-’80s the IMF made an attempt to understand financial markets. And I was sent to talk to asset managers in New York. The question was asked to them: “What was the […]

The post The Economics of World Bond Pricing appeared first on VIRTUAL DAN.

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Check out the full financial blog at

Portfolio Predictions for December, 2016
SecurityPrediction as of 12/1/2016Price as of
Current Price% Change
Zillow Inc. (ZG) Underperform$35.15$33.33-5.18% Report
Alphabet (GOOGL) Outperform$775.88$764.46-1.47% Report

For a detailed review of the performance of stocks predicted to outperform or underperform, visit the Historical Performance page.
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Asset Class Timeliness Rating
as of 12/2/2016

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Latest Portfolio News
News Filters:
Publication Date Relevance Weight*
AMZN, GOOGL34How Top Artificial Intelligence Stocks Are Performing in 2016 ( 5:04:00 PM
PCAR33Why PACCAR Inc Stock Jumped 13% in November ( 9:18:00 AM
COST28Will Costco Wholesale Celebrate This Holiday Season? ( 6:24:00 AM
SBUX26Howard Schultz Steps Down As Starbucks' CEO: What It Means For Investors ( 2:30:00 PM
TWTR25Twitter Wins 1, Loses 1 ( 2:21:00 PM
TRIP253 Tech Stocks That Could Soar in the Next 12 Months ( 12:31:00 PM
TSLA24What Tesla Motors, Inc. Is Saying About Model 3 ( 8:04:00 AM
GOOGL24Is Alphabet Inc.'s Share Repurchase Program Big Enough? ( 7:06:00 AM
TSLA24How Many Model X SUVs Will Tesla Motors, Inc. Deliver This Quarter? ( 4:33:00 PM
DIS24Disney Isn't Buying Netflix in 2017 ( 1:17:00 PM
RCKY23ETFs with exposure to Rocky Brands, Inc. : December 2, 2016 ( 10:09:00 AM
FIT22Fitbit Caught Between a Pebble and a Hard Place ( 11:06:00 AM
FIT22You Can't Buy Devices From Jawbone, but They're Apparently Selling Well ( 6:00:00 AM
FIT22Fitbit, Inc. Wants Pebble's Pieces ( 1:18:00 PM
NKE21Can Nike Inc. Pull Off A Margin Rebound? ( 7:31:00 AM
DIS19The Best Consumer Goods Stock for 2017 ( 6:17:00 PM
PCAR18PACCAR Recognizes Top Performing Suppliers in North America ( 8:00:00 AM
FLIR18FLIR Systems Buys Prox Dynamics to Boost Surveillance Unit ( 1:49:00 PM
SBUX16Starbucks (SBUX) Has Ambitious Plans to Increase Same-Store Sales ( 12:12:00 PM
SBUX16Starbucks (SBUX) Stock Is 'Undervalued,' Outgoing CEO Schultz Claims ( 10:29:00 AM
SBUX16Jim Cramer: Starbucks Is a Tech Company Selling Coffee ( 10:12:00 AM
SBUX16Starbucks (SBUX) CEO Schultz on Stepping Down: 'I'm at Peace With It' ( 10:11:00 AM
SBUX16Starbucks' Outgoing CEO Will Be Up to Some Big Things in Semi-Retirement ( 5:24:00 PM
SBUX16Meet the New CEO of Starbucks Kevin Johnson ( 2:44:00 PM
AMZN, GOOGL14How Amazon's Rapidly Growing Cloud Business Threatens Microsoft and Oracle ( 11:30:00 AM
ZG14Zillow Group, Inc. breached its 50 day moving average in a Bearish Manner : ZG-US : December 2, 2016 ( 4:09:00 AM
AMZN14Nvidia: Global Equities Sees Little Threat in Amazon's 'Inferences' ( 1:07:00 PM
COST13Ontario health ministry to probe alleged Costco pharmacy kickbacks ( 3:39:00 PM
FIT12Fitbit Makes a Smart Offer for Pebble, but Remains a Risky Play ( 5:42:00 AM
FIT12Fitbit Close to Picking Up Rival Pebble for a Song ( 2:25:00 PM
FIT12The Fitbit-Pebble Deal Puts an Exclamation Mark on an Ugly Year for Wearables ( 1:32:00 PM
SBUX11Jim Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: How to Handle Your Finances at Any Age ( 4:00:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks CEO Leaving Could Be Bad for the Bonds, Too ( 2:48:00 PM
SBUX11What To Expect From Starbucks' CEO Shuffle — Shaky Or Seamless? ( 1:28:00 PM
SBUX11Don't Worry Howard, Starbucks' Chart Looks Fine ( 1:23:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks: Profiting One Cup at a Time (SBUX) ( 1:00:00 PM
SBUX11Stocks Fluctuate in Choppy Trade as Bank Shares Pull Back ( 11:56:00 AM
SBUX11For His Next Act, Schultz Wants to Make Starbucks More Upscale ( 11:40:00 AM
SBUX11How Starbucks' Howard Schultz went from the projects to creating 300,000 jobs and a $3 billion fortune ( 10:21:00 AM
SBUX11At home, Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz lauded as a leader who transformed how to do business ( 10:10:00 AM
SBUX11Who is Kevin Johnson? Meet the former Microsoft exec who will be Starbucks' new CEO ( 6:50:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz to step aside, stay as chairman ( 6:31:00 PM
SBUX, GOOGL11Shake-Up At Starbucks; Ulta Beats Late; Techs Take A Beating ( 5:20:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks CEO to step down; will focus on expanding high-end Roastery concept ( 5:00:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks' CEO is Leaving; Investors are Right to Fret ( 4:15:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks CEO steps down to focus on high-end coffee, shares fall ( 3:49:00 PM
SBUX11Last time Howard Schultz stepped down at Starbucks, shares cratered ( 3:40:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks: Schultz to step down as CEO, focus on innovation ( 3:34:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks: Schultz to step down as CEO, focus on innovation ( 3:34:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz to step down ( 3:11:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks's New CEO Has Much To Prove ( 3:04:00 PM
SBUX11Cramer reacts to Starbucks: Schultz is deeply linked to t... ( 3:00:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks' Schultz To Step Down As CEO; No Other Leadership Change Seen ( 2:25:00 PM
SBUX11Starbucks CEO steps down to focus on high-end coffee, shares dip ( 2:18:00 PM
TWTR, GOOGL10ISIS Victim Suit Ties Twitter Ads to Terrorist Propaganda ( 6:02:00 PM
TWTR10Twitter Names Keith Coleman Head of Product ( 4:49:00 PM
TWTR10Twitter just lost another key executive ( 11:18:00 AM
TWTR10Twitter Hires Ex-Google Star as Product Chief (TWTR, GOOGL) ( 9:08:00 AM
TWTR10Twitter is the ‘most important’ social platform right now, analyst says ( 4:33:00 AM
TWTR10Meet Twitter's New Product Head (TWTR) ( 3:39:00 AM
TWTR10Twitter changes product head for third time in a year ( 6:47:00 PM
TWTR10Twitter changes product head for third time in a year ( 6:13:00 PM
TWTR10Twitter changes product head for third time in a year ( 6:09:00 PM
TWTR10Twitter Hires New VP Of Product Through Yes Acquisition ( 4:43:00 PM
TWTR10Twitter lands former Google exec as head of product through acquisition ( 2:57:00 PM
TWTR10Twitter bought a small, virtually unknown startup to get a new chief of product ( 2:24:00 PM
TWTR10Tata's Boardroom Battles Have Sparked a Twitter War ( 1:00:00 PM
AMZN9Silicon Valley vs. Donald Trump: Who Will Win? ( 11:26:00 AM
DIS9Disney’s Bob Iger to represent media on Trump’s policy forum ( 11:20:00 AM
DIS9Why Netflix Stock Just Got More Attractive ( 10:46:00 AM
AMZN9Why Amazon Will Thrive in 2017 Despite Donald Trump ( 10:10:00 AM
GOOGL9Why Apple Can't Compete More Effectively With Google in Maps and Services ( 9:56:00 AM
DIS9Bob Iger, Jamie Dimon Tapped by Trump for Advice on Jobs and the Economy ( 9:33:00 AM
AMZN9For More Growth Than Amazon, Check Out These Cyber Monday Winners ( 8:38:00 AM
TSLA9Tesla Motors: 'We Continue to Have Reservations' ( 7:50:00 AM
DIS9ESPN Struggles Not the End of Disney: Analysts (DIS) ( 7:05:00 AM
DIS9Should Disney Buy Netflix? Analysts Weigh In (DIS, NFLX) ( 6:20:00 AM
DIS9Disney laid the groundwork a decade ago for its record year at the movies ( 5:11:00 AM
TSLA9Tesla Is in Trouble ( 4:56:00 AM
DIS9AT&T confident regulators will OK its Time Warner deal | Turner Broadcasting head gets candid about Trump, merger | Disney’s record year in movies ( 1:45:00 PM
GOOGL9Breitbart News, Former Home to Trump Advisor Bannon, Declares War on Kellogg's ( 1:24:00 PM
AMZN9Dow Scores New Record as Banks Offset Tech Selloff ( 1:04:00 PM
AMZN9Alibaba Isn't Quite Ready to Let Amazon Lay Claim to India's E-commerce Market ( 12:41:00 PM
GOOGL9Controlling User Experience Key to AT&T-Time Warner Deal ( 12:12:00 PM
COST, GOOGL8$50 Billion Quant Fund Is Making New Bets On These Stocks ( 12:35:00 PM
COST8U.S. retailers' November same-store sales review ( 3:24:00 PM
JWN, FIT7Final Trade: APPL, FIT & more ( 2:25:00 PM
FIT7The Pebble Crumbles: Are Smartwatches Just a Fad? ( 11:23:00 AM
JWN, TSLA7Tesla Tests The Limits Of Michigan Law With New Open Showroom ( 10:12:00 AM
FIT7Forcerank Weekly Review (CVX, W, GRPN, BOX) ( 9:41:00 AM featured highlights: Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Nordstrom, Stifel Financial, Take-Two Interactive Software and Western Digital ( 6:30:00 AM
FIT7Tech Today: Workday Plunges, Debating iPhone Rumors, AMZN Rising ( 6:28:00 AM
FIT7Fitbit eyes Pebble purchase amid wearables consolidation ( 2:36:00 PM
JWN75 Stocks with Solid Sales Growth to Buy Right Now (revised) ( 2:27:00 PM
FIT7Apple Watch Rival Fitbit Reportedly Will Buy Pebble ( 1:33:00 PM
FIT7Wilbur Ross Sells 2 Holdings, Trims Another ( 12:39:00 PM
SBUX6Rally ebbs as investors seek safety after weak wage data ( 1:54:00 PM
SBUX6Rally ebbs as investors seek safety after weak wage data ( 1:54:00 PM
NKE6Competitor Performance Is Eating Nike's Lunch ( 1:50:00 PM
NKE6Could this be Oregon's next big wind farm? ( 1:18:00 PM
SBUX6Stocks End Week With A Whimper; Applied Materials Snaps Back ( 1:15:00 PM
NKE6Adidas' CEO unleashed a major criticism of Nike's self-lacing sneakers ( 11:40:00 AM
NKE6Adidas' CEO just took a shot at Nike's self lacing sneakers ( 11:36:00 AM
DIS, TWTR, GOOGL6[video]Twitter Buys Yes, Finally Bags New Product VP ( 11:33:00 AM
SBUX6Jack Ma Is Prepared To Step Away From Alibaba ... Just Not Yet ( 10:56:00 AM
NKE6ETFs with exposure to NIKE, Inc. : December 2, 2016 ( 9:55:00 AM
NKE6Is Lululemon A Downward Dog? ( 7:30:00 AM
NKE68 Great Retirement Stocks for Baby Boomers ( 5:40:00 AM
NKE6Why Cristiano Ronaldo's $1 Billion Nike Deal May Be A Bargain For Sportswear Giant ( 5:10:00 AM
NKE6SL Green Inks Long-Term Lease with Nike; Raises Dividend ( 5:03:00 AM
SBUX6Asian shares slip, investors on a 'wait-and-see mode' ( 5:54:00 PM
NKE6Jeff Auxier Curbs Multiple Positions in 3rd Quarter ( 2:46:00 PM
NKE6Nike Presents the 12 Soles Collection This Weekend, Available via the Nike+ SNKRS App, Celebrating the Past, Present, and Future of Basketball ( 1:15:00 PM
NKE, FIT6Nike Seeks 'Energy Harvesting,' Augmented-Reality Patents ( 1:10:00 PM
TWTR5CEO Says Ford Still Moving Small-Car Output to Mexico ( 2:53:00 PM
TWTR5Square Upgraded, 'Estimates Could Prove Conservative' ( 1:34:00 PM
TWTR5FB creating problems and making money off of it: Swisher ( 8:23:00 AM
TWTR5CEO Founders Who Should Quit Like Howard Schultz ( 3:25:00 AM
TWTR5Trump Touts Carrier Deal, Says Companies Leaving U.S. Face 'Consequences' ( 1:29:00 PM
TWTR5CBS adds live NFL games to its streaming video service ( 1:26:00 PM
AMZN, TWTR4Facebook Reportedly Working On Curated News From Picked Partners ( 5:32:00 PM
GOOGL4Facebook's Data Could Help It Sell Billions in Ads on Other Sites and Apps ( 4:48:00 PM
GOOGL4Android Circuit: New Galaxy S8 Leaks, Android Confirmed For Nokia, Black Friday Pixel Defeats iPhone ( 4:36:00 PM
GOOGL4Top-Notch Investor's Bets On Likely Trump-Era Stock Leaders ( 4:34:00 PM
AMZN4Salesforce to Offer Core Software Tools on AWS Starting in 2017 ( 3:29:00 PM
DIS4Cramer says to get involved! The best way to get your chi... ( 3:25:00 PM
GOOGL4Stocks To Watch For The Week Ahead: Facebook, Ulta, Broadcom And More ( 2:49:00 PM
AMZN4Walmart's new gas-and-grocery hybrids could become a major threat to Amazon and Kroger ( 2:33:00 PM
AMZN4Buy the Trump tech wreck? ( 2:01:00 PM
GOOGL4Here's How Much Trump Tax Cuts Could Boost The Stock Market ( 1:17:00 PM
AMZN4Will AT&T DirecTV Now Launch Herald Net Neutrality's End? ( 1:16:00 PM
AMZN4Cyber Weekend: Amazon's Biggest Validation to Date ( 1:11:00 PM
AMZN, GOOGL4Pandora Music Jumps On SiriusXM Buyout Buzz As Rivals Grow ( 1:09:00 PM
AMZN, GOOGL4Amazon Fights Alphabet, Microsoft, Apple For Smart Device Clout ( 1:09:00 PM
GOOGL4IPO Stock News And Analysis: Find Today's Top New Issues ( 1:08:00 PM
AMZN4What's Driving The Success Of 'Un-Amazon-Able' Ulta Beauty? ( 1:05:00 PM
AMZN4The internet continues to break the TV bundle ( 12:43:00 PM
SBUX4[$$] Starbucks: Freshen the cup ( 12:43:00 PM
AMZN4Recalls this week: dehumidifiers, espresso makers ( 11:24:00 AM
AMZN4Recalls this week: dehumidifiers, espresso makers ( 11:24:00 AM
SBUX4[$$] Starbucks' CEO Change Won't Spill the Beans ( 11:16:00 AM
DIS4Hasbro and Kadam Announce a New Transformers Game ( 11:04:00 AM
AMZN, GOOGL4Stocks Mixed; Facebook, Other Nasdaq Heavies Still Weak; Airlines Rise ( 10:31:00 AM
TSLA4Tesla's Shares Are On A Slippery Slope ( 10:28:00 AM
GOOGL4Weekend roundup: Italy’s threat to the EU | Low-paid women | OPEC’s surprise ( 9:58:00 AM
DIS4Movie Watch: Hollywood box office in a waiting period until ‘Rogue One’ ( 9:40:00 AM
TSLA4Tesla analysts: 'We continue to have reservations' on company ( 8:44:00 AM
GOOGL4Apple Faces a Catch-22 in its Maps and Cloud Battle with Google ( 8:10:00 AM
AMZN4Cramer: We Need the FANGs to Bite on This Critical Day ( 8:06:00 AM
GOOGL4What Is Intel’s Artificial Intelligence Strategy? ( 8:05:00 AM
AMZN4What Is Netflix’s Opinion on Amazon’s Prime Video Service? ( 8:05:00 AM
DIS4Onscreen Diversity In Hollywood Blockbusters Is More Important Than Ever ( 8:00:00 AM
DIS4What Does Comcast Make of Falling NFL Viewership? ( 7:04:00 AM
TSLA4This company has developed stereo cameras for driverless cars ( 6:00:00 AM
TSLA4InnoDesignTech Expo Unveils Latest Trends in Urban Living ( 1:00:00 AM
TSLA4November’s stock rally would’ve been twice as profitable had investors done this ( 12:42:00 AM
SBUX4[$$] Howard Schultz Stepping Down as Starbucks CEO to Focus on Higher-End Shops ( 6:07:00 PM
SBUX4[$$] Howard Schultz steps aside as Starbucks' chief ( 6:04:00 PM
GOOGL4Apple Turns to Drones to Take Maps to the Next Level ( 4:33:00 PM
SBUX4[$$] Starbucks' Schultz Stepping Down as CEO to Focus on Higher-End Shops ( 4:28:00 PM
AMZN4Workday Earnings, Revenue Top, But Stock Dives On Guidance ( 3:16:00 PM
GOOGL4Final Trade: CSX, GOOGL & more ( 2:59:00 PM
GOOGL4The heavy-on-hype, light-on-substance world of drone delivery ( 2:01:00 PM
DIS4Trading media in a cordless world: 4 plays ( 2:00:00 PM
AMZN, GOOGL4Bite Taken Out Of FANG Stocks Despite Bullish Report ( 1:58:00 PM
GOOGL4Apple Plays Catch-Up To Google Maps; Analysts Bullish On Ads ( 1:51:00 PM
GOOGL4Box Gets Another IBM Boost, But Stock Reverses As Techs Tumble ( 1:48:00 PM
GOOGL4Google Pixel Sales 'Strong' At Verizon; Delays Till January? ( 1:46:00 PM
GOOGL4There are now no obstacles that can stand in the way of the robot uprising ( 1:28:00 PM
GOOGL4Google Says Goodbye to Content Keywords in Search Console ( 1:23:00 PM
DIS4TV Wars Accelerate As Amazon Expands HBO, Cinemax On Prime Channels ( 1:11:00 PM
AMZN4Amazon, Facebook 'Server-Side Optics' Good For Lumentum, Finisar ( 1:08:00 PM
GOOGL4Motorola appears to be giving up on smartwatches ( 1:01:00 PM
GOOGL4If you can wait, you shouldn't buy a Google Chromebook right now ( 12:50:00 PM
AMZN4Banks pop, techs drop ( 12:45:00 PM
GOOGL4Pixel Won't Be A Real Moneymaker For Google Anytime Soon ( 12:42:00 PM
GOOGL4Google Pixel Wins On Black Friday ( 12:38:00 PM
TSLA4Tesla Hosts Lobbying Group Shunned by Ford Over Climate Stance ( 12:24:00 PM
TSLA4Tesla Hosts Lobby Group Shunned by Ford Over Climate Stance ( 12:24:00 PM
GOOGL4Astronaut Buzz Aldrin has been safely evacuated from the South Pole ( 12:12:00 PM
TWTR2[$$] Twitter Names Keith Coleman as Product Chief ( 4:42:00 PM
GOOGL2[$$] SQZ Biotech Boosts Series B to $24 Million ( 3:38:00 PM
FIT0[$$] Business Watch ( 9:25:00 PM
FIT0[$$] Fitbit Set to Acquire Smartwatch Maker Pebble ( 11:52:00 AM

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